Will Germany, France, Italy, or Spain announce any new restrictions on the use of Huawei equipment in their 5G networks by July 31, 2020?

Yes/No Opened 15 July 2020 Closed 1 August 2020 Resolved 1 August 2020 161 forecasts 111 forecasters

Context. In a "major U-turn," on July 14, 2020, the U.K. announced a ban on the Chinese tech company Huawei. The announcement came one day after U.S. National Security Advisor Robert O’Brien arrived in Paris to discuss 5G networks, among other topics, with his counterparts from the U.K., Germany, France, and Italy. According to Reuters, the U.S. is applying greater pressure on other EU countries to also impose stricter limits on Huawei.

Data and resolution details. This question resolves based on official announcements by Italy, France, Spain, and Germany.

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Outcome

Outcome	Final crowd forecast	Resolution
Yes	20%	Did not happen

“Final crowd forecast” is the last aggregate crowd probability computed before the question closed – the right-hand end of the chart below, which this table is the accessible equivalent of.

No aggregate forecast history is available for this question.