What will the combined revenue of Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft be in the third quarter of 2020 (ending September 30)?
Context. As the economic crisis deepens, large tech companies have so far demonstrated resilience, beating Wall Street Analysts’ expectations.
Data and Resolution Details. This question resolves based on the 10-Q filings of Alphabet Inc., Amazon.com Inc., Apple Inc., Facebook Inc., and Microsoft Inc. It resolves when these companies’ 10-Q filings for the third quarter of 2020 are publicly available.
The data underlying the graph is here.
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Outcome
| Answer | Final crowd forecast | Resolution |
|---|---|---|
| Less than $190 billion | 2% | Did not happen |
| Between $190 billion and $230 billion, inclusive | 11% | Did not happen |
| More than $230 billion but less than or equal to $270 billion | 49% | Happened |
| More than $270 billion but less than or equal to $310 billion | 32% | Did not happen |
| More than $310 billion | 6% | Did not happen |
“Final crowd forecast” is the last aggregate crowd probability computed before the question closed – the right-hand end of the chart below, which this table is the accessible equivalent of.
No aggregate forecast history is available for this question.