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What will the combined revenue of Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft be in the third quarter of 2020 (ending September 30)?

Multiple choice Opened 5 August 2020 Closed 23 September 2020 Resolved 3 November 2020 73 forecasts 61 forecasters

Context. As the economic crisis deepens, large tech companies have so far demonstrated resilience, beating Wall Street Analysts’ expectations.

Data and Resolution Details. This question resolves based on the 10-Q filings of Alphabet Inc., Amazon.com Inc., Apple Inc., Facebook Inc., and Microsoft Inc. It resolves when these companies’ 10-Q filings for the third quarter of 2020 are publicly available. 

The data underlying the graph is here.

This question is a metric for the following world forecasts:

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Outcome

Answer Final crowd forecast Resolution
Less than $190 billion 2% Did not happen
Between $190 billion and $230 billion, inclusive 11% Did not happen
More than $230 billion but less than or equal to $270 billion 49% Happened
More than $270 billion but less than or equal to $310 billion 32% Did not happen
More than $310 billion 6% Did not happen

“Final crowd forecast” is the last aggregate crowd probability computed before the question closed – the right-hand end of the chart below, which this table is the accessible equivalent of.

No aggregate forecast history is available for this question.