What will the combined revenue of Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft be in the first two quarters (January 1 through June 30) of 2021?

Multiple choice Opened 23 September 2020 Closed 1 January 2021 Resolved 30 July 2021 102 forecasts 75 forecasters

Previous version. This question was previously issued for 2020 Q3. You can view those forecasts here. The actual data for 2020 Q3 will be added to the graph below as soon as it's available.

Context. As the economic crisis deepens, large tech companies have so far demonstrated resilience, beating Wall Street Analysts’ expectations.

Data and Resolution Details. This question resolves based on the 10-Q filings of Alphabet Inc., Amazon.com Inc., Apple Inc., Facebook Inc., and Microsoft Inc. It resolves when these companies’ 10-Q filings for the second quarter of 2021 are publicly available.

The graph below doesn't reflect data for 2020 Q3. Total revenue during that quarter is $265.7 billion.

The data underlying the graph is here.

This question is a metric for the following scenarios:

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Outcome

Answer	Final crowd forecast	Resolution
Less than $440 billion	3%	Did not happen
Between $440 billion and $490 billion, inclusive	8%	Did not happen
More than $490 billion but less than or equal to $540 billion	27%	Did not happen
More than $540 billion but less than or equal to $590 billion	44%	Did not happen
More than $590 billion	18%	Happened

“Final crowd forecast” is the last aggregate crowd probability computed before the question closed – the right-hand end of the chart below, which this table is the accessible equivalent of.

No aggregate forecast history is available for this question.