On 30 June 2022, how much funding will Crunchbase’s “Hub for Artificial Intelligence Companies Founded in the Last Year” report that those companies have raised?

Multiple choice Opened 17 February 2022 Closed 30 June 2022 Resolved 30 June 2022 264 forecasts 78 forecasters

The National Security Commission on Artificial Intelligence argues that competition with the AI industry is key to innovation (Chapter 11). In January of 2022 the Crunchbase Hub on Artificial Intelligence Companies Founded in the Last Year reported 257 new organizations, which had raised $224.1 million in 111 rounds of funding. Question will be resolved at 5:00 PM (ET) on 30 June 2022 using data posted on the Crunchbase Hub for Artificial Intelligence Companies founded in the Last Year.

Outcome

Answer	Final crowd forecast	Resolution
Less than or equal to 200 million	0%	Did not happen
More than 200 million but less than 250 million	1%	Did not happen
Between 250 million and 300 million, inclusive	2%	Did not happen
More than 300 million	97%	Happened

“Final crowd forecast” is the last aggregate crowd probability computed before the question closed – the right-hand end of the chart below, which this table is the accessible equivalent of.

Crowd forecast over time

More than 300 million Between 250 million and 300 million, inclusive More than 200 million but less than 250 million Less than or equal to 200 million

The aggregate crowd probability, one point per day, from RFI's primary aggregation method. Gaps are days with no computed aggregate. Individual forecasts are not shown.