cmeinel
made their 14th forecast (view all):
This forecast expired on Aug 30, 2024 03:51PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
27% (-23%)
Yes
Jul 30, 2024 to Jul 30, 2025
73% (+23%)
No
Jul 30, 2024 to Jul 30, 2025
Why do you think you're right?

Turkey's threat to intervene if Israel might invade Lebanon should deter Netanyahu.

Dateline 7-30-2024 Dr. Alon Liel, former Foreign Ministry director and former Israeli ambassador to Turkey, commented on the possibility of a Turkish invasion of Israel in light of Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan's recent threats to intervene in the Israel-Hamas war, Dr. Liel told Radio North 104.5FM on Tuesday.
Source: https://www.jpost.com/israel-news/article-812481

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Why might you be wrong?

Netanyahu might assume that Ergodan's threat is merely empty talk.

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