ctsats
made their 3rd forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
4% (-3%)
Yes
96% (+3%)
No
Why do you think you're right?

May price decreased to $3.278, down from $3.299 in April: https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/pet_pri_gnd_dcus_nus_m.htm 

Current price by AAA (not necessarily compatible with that of the EIA, but a good enough proxy) at $3.146 as of writing: https://gasprices.aaa.com/ (was at $3.177 on May 20, per the question info)

Adjusting...

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Why might you be wrong?

As before

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