Will the U.S. national average gas price be equal to or above $3.600 for July 2025?

Started May 23, 2025 08:00PM UTC
Closed Aug 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
Seasons

On 20 May 2025, the U.S. national average price for regular gasoline was $3.177 per gallon, according to the American Automobile Association (AAA). For comparison, the U.S. average price for all grades and formulations was $3.600 per gallon in July 2024 and $3.712 per gallon in July 2023, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA).

Resolution Criteria: 
This question will resolve as “Yes” if the EIA reports a national average retail price for gasoline (all grades) of $3.600 per gallon or higher for July 2025.

The official value will be taken from the EIA’s monthly “Gasoline-All Grades” data once the data for July 2025 is available. 
Resolution Notes

The average gas price in July 2025 was $3.250.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 1%
No 99%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 149
Average for questions older than 6 months: 61
Number of Forecasts 429
Average for questions older than 6 months: 233
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.02083
2.
-0.01881
3.
-0.018364
4.
-0.018279
5.
-0.018213

Consensus Trend

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