Why do you think you're right?

 Just ~2,000 acres were added today, bringing the total for July 1-25 to 1,197,917 (see here for links and methodology). This is 93.4% of the required threshold in 80.6% of the time; we are still 85,230 acres short of the threshold with only 6 days still remaining.

Reducing...

Files
Why might you be wrong?

Seems it will be close

Files
Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username