Confirmed previous forecast
No Scores Yet
Relative Brier Score
12
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | 22 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 7 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 13 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Less than $21.0 billion
10%
(0%)
More than or equal to $21.0 billion but less than $22.5 billion
20%
(0%)
More than or equal to $22.5 billion but less than $23.5 billion
30%
(0%)
More than or equal to $23.5 billion but less than $25.0 billion
40%
(0%)
More than or equal to $25.0 billion
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
30%
(0%)
Yes
70%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
10%
(0%)
Less than $350 million
21%
(0%)
More than or equal to $350 million but less than $500 million
39%
(0%)
More than or equal to $500 million but less than $650 million
20%
(0%)
More than or equal to $650 million but less than $800 million
10%
(0%)
More than or equal to $800 million
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
100%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
Less than $21.0 billion
10%
More than or equal to $21.0 billion but less than $22.5 billion
20%
More than or equal to $22.5 billion but less than $23.5 billion
30%
More than or equal to $23.5 billion but less than $25.0 billion
40%
More than or equal to $25.0 billion
Why do you think you're right?
US spend alot of money on stuff like this
Files
Why might you be wrong?
because im a kid
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
30%
(0%)
Yes
70%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
10%
Less than $350 million
21%
More than or equal to $350 million but less than $500 million
39%
More than or equal to $500 million but less than $650 million
20%
More than or equal to $650 million but less than $800 million
10%
More than or equal to $800 million
Why do you think you're right?
because im smart
Files
Why might you be wrong?
because im dumb
Files
Why do you think you're right?
because AI is getting dangerous
Why might you be wrong?
if AI hits a platue in intelligence