180th
Accuracy Rank

BlancaElenaGG

0.0589

Relative Brier Score

5

Forecasts

0

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Past Week Past Month Past Year This Season All Time
Forecasts 2 2 74 62 439
Comments 0 0 6 6 135
Questions Forecasted 2 2 51 42 159
Upvotes on Comments By This User 0 0 6 5 26
 Definitions
New Prediction

As of 2024, Chinese organizations, such as SMEE, have made progress in developing EUV photolithography technology, including filing patents, but significant technical challenges remain, such as creating high-power EUV light sources and advanced optics. Currently, only ASML has successfully commercialized high-volume EUV machines, with models capable of processing up to 170 wafers per hour. Given these complexities and the current pace of development, it is uncertain whether China will produce EUV machines capable of at least 90 wafers per hour before January 1, 2030.

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While China has made progress in developing DUV (ArFi) photolithography machines, achieving resolutions below 65 nm and overlay accuracy under 8 nm, these systems still lag behind industry leaders like ASML, whose equipment processes over 295 wafers per hour. Chinese machines have not yet demonstrated the capability to handle at least 140 wafers per hour, the benchmark for high-volume manufacturing. Given the technical challenges and the time required for further advancements, it is unlikely that China will produce such machines with these capabilities before January 1, 2026.








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Despite facing significant economic and geopolitical challenges, current forecasts from international financial institutions indicate a gradual recovery for Egypt, rather than an imminent economic collapse over the next 12 months.  For example,  The IMF projects Egypt's economy will see a gradual recovery, with GDP growth expected to reach 4.1% in fiscal year 2025-2026.

The OECD expects Egypt’s growth reaching 5.6% by 2025-26.



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Confirmed previous forecast
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"Putin's historic electoral victory this year has to do with two main factors: the push for national unity as a result of the war in Ukraine and the lack of an alternative program that could challenge the mandate of the four-time re-elected president. 

More than 20 years forging an effective judicial system to protect the interests of Putin's Kremlin were reflected in the political disqualification of two candidates who based their proposal on criticism of the current Administration."

https://www.france24.com/es/europa/20240318-la-rusia-de-vladimir-putin-se-extiende-hasta-el-2030-pese-a-la-inconformidad-de-occidente

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BlancaElenaGG
made their 2nd forecast (view all):
This forecast expired on Nov 1, 2024 03:44AM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
1% (0%)
Yes
Oct 1, 2024 to Apr 1, 2025
99% (0%)
No
Oct 1, 2024 to Apr 1, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
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New Prediction
BlancaElenaGG
made their 2nd forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
0% (0%)
Moldova
1% (0%)
Armenia
3% (0%)
Georgia
2% (0%)
Kazakhstan
Confirmed previous forecast
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Confirmed previous forecast
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