Historically, the northern regions have greater growth potential and I think that one variable that can be considered is the automotive industry in the region, which can give a boost or at least maintain this growth trend.
0.056051
Relative Brier Score
10
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
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| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
90%
Yes
10%
No
Why do you think you're right?
Files
Why might you be wrong?
External variables such as higher tariffs for the region
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
10%
Less than $21.0 billion
46%
More than or equal to $21.0 billion but less than $22.5 billion
20%
More than or equal to $22.5 billion but less than $23.5 billion
14%
More than or equal to $23.5 billion but less than $25.0 billion
10%
More than or equal to $25.0 billion
Why do you think you're right?
The Donald Trump administration has not shown interest in issues other than those related to international trade or migration, so one cannot expect an optimistic scenario for the space force.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
A new advisor to Trump's team is in favor of the Space Force.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
22%
Less than 600
43%
Between 600 and 629, inclusive
25%
Between 630 and 659, inclusive
7%
Between 660 and 689, inclusive
3%
More than or equal to 690
Why do you think you're right?
The clashes between criminal groups show no signs of weakening, and the national security strategy has not had the desired impact in the short term.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
A possible truce between armed groups
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
5%
Yes
95%
No
Why do you think you're right?
The recent bombing of Iran's nuclear facilities had little impact on gasoline prices, which is why it is unlikely that an armed conflict like the one between Russia and Ukraine could move gasoline prices.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
The closure of the Strait of Hormuz could reduce the global supply of fossil fuels.
Files
Why do you think you're right?
After COVID-19, scientific research regained relevance for biotechnology companies.
Why might you be wrong?
A setback on the part of decision-makers through their health ministries.