Hostility in the Middle East.
-0.183005
Relative Brier Score
2
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Badge
Top Forecaster - Jun 2025
Earned for being in the Top 10% of the leaderboard in a month.
New Prediction
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Apr 18, 2025 07:22PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
72%
Yes
Jan 18, 2025 to Jan 18, 2026
28%
No
Jan 18, 2025 to Jan 18, 2026
Why do you think you're right?
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Trump.
Files
New Badge
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Nov 6, 2024 10:48PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
80%
Yes
Oct 6, 2024 to Apr 6, 2025
20%
No
Oct 6, 2024 to Apr 6, 2025
They want to be viewed as a nuclear power.
Files
Why do you think you're right?
Conspiracies.
Why might you be wrong?
Hidden evidence.