Hostility in the Middle East.
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0
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No forecasts in the past 3 months
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Top Forecaster - Jun 2025
Earned for being in the Top 10% of the leaderboard in a month.
New Prediction
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Apr 18, 2025 07:22PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
72%
Yes
Jan 18, 2025 to Jan 18, 2026
28%
No
Jan 18, 2025 to Jan 18, 2026
Why do you think you're right?
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Trump.
Files
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New Prediction
This forecast expired on Nov 6, 2024 10:48PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
80%
Yes
Oct 6, 2024 to Apr 6, 2025
20%
No
Oct 6, 2024 to Apr 6, 2025
They want to be viewed as a nuclear power.
Files
Why do you think you're right?
Conspiracies.
Why might you be wrong?
Hidden evidence.