Forecasted Questions
What will the average employment rate in OECD countries be in 2025?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(25 days from now)
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(25 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 08, 2025 04:22PM UTC
(2 months ago)
Oct 08, 2025 04:22PM UTC
(2 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than 62% | 0% | 0% | +0% | +0% |
| More than or equal to 62% but less than 66% | 0% | 0% | +0% | +0% |
| More than or equal to 66% but less than 70% | 10% | 4% | +6% | -11% |
| More than or equal to 70% but less than 74% | 90% | 96% | -6% | +11% |
| More than or equal to 74% | 0% | 0% | +0% | +0% |
Will the European “Coalition of the Willing” deploy forces to Ukraine in 2025?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(25 days from now)
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(25 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 13, 2025 06:38PM UTC
(2 months ago)
Oct 13, 2025 06:38PM UTC
(2 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1% | 1% | +0% | +0% |
| No | 99% | 99% | +0% | +0% |
If a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict goes into effect in 2025, how long will it last?
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(25 days from now)
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(25 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 13, 2025 06:38PM UTC
(2 months ago)
Oct 13, 2025 06:38PM UTC
(2 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than 30 days | 63% | 68% | -5% | +3% |
| 30 days | 5% | 6% | -1% | +0% |
| 31-60 days | 5% | 6% | -1% | +0% |
| 61-90 days | 5% | 5% | +0% | +0% |
| 91 days or more | 22% | 16% | +6% | -2% |
Will the U.S. federal government enact legislation that substantively regulates or authorizes regulation of artificial intelligence systems or their development before 1 January 2026?
Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(25 days from now)
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(25 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 13, 2025 06:38PM UTC
(2 months ago)
Oct 13, 2025 06:38PM UTC
(2 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1% | 1% | +0% | +0% |
| No | 99% | 99% | +0% | +0% |
What will the U.S. Space Force budget be in the FY2026 National Defense Authorization Act?
Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(25 days from now)
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(25 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 13, 2025 06:39PM UTC
(2 months ago)
Oct 13, 2025 06:39PM UTC
(2 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than $21.0 billion | 0% | 21% | -21% | +13% |
| More than or equal to $21.0 billion but less than $22.5 billion | 17% | 43% | -26% | +12% |
| More than or equal to $22.5 billion but less than $23.5 billion | 33% | 14% | +19% | -5% |
| More than or equal to $23.5 billion but less than $25.0 billion | 33% | 9% | +24% | -6% |
| More than or equal to $25.0 billion | 17% | 13% | +4% | -13% |