Forecasted Questions
What will the U.S. Space Force budget be in the FY2026 National Defense Authorization Act?
Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(26 days from now)
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(26 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 01, 2025 01:44AM UTC
(5 days ago)
Dec 01, 2025 01:44AM UTC
(5 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than $21.0 billion | 25% | 21% | +4% | +1% |
| More than or equal to $21.0 billion but less than $22.5 billion | 60% | 43% | +17% | +1% |
| More than or equal to $22.5 billion but less than $23.5 billion | 10% | 14% | -4% | +0% |
| More than or equal to $23.5 billion but less than $25.0 billion | 3% | 9% | -6% | +0% |
| More than or equal to $25.0 billion | 2% | 13% | -11% | -1% |
When will a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict first go into effect?
Forecast Count:
9 Forecasts
9 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(26 days from now)
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(26 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 01, 2025 01:44AM UTC
(5 days ago)
Dec 01, 2025 01:44AM UTC
(5 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 January 2025 - 31 March 2025 | 0% | 0% | +0% | 0% |
| 1 April 2025 - 30 June 2025 | 0% | 0% | +0% | 0% |
| 1 July 2025 - 30 September 2025 | 0% | 0% | +0% | +0% |
| 1 October 2025 - 31 December 2025 | 1% | 2% | -1% | +0% |
| Not before 2026 | 99% | 98% | +1% | +0% |
Will Egypt experience an economic collapse (as defined by any of the listed scenarios) in the next 12 months?
Forecast Count:
14 Forecasts
14 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(26 days from now)
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(26 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 01, 2025 01:44AM UTC
(5 days ago)
Dec 01, 2025 01:44AM UTC
(5 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1% | 2% | -1% | +0% |
| No | 99% | 98% | +1% | +0% |
Will the United States implement new or expanded export controls on advanced AI chips, cloud access to AI computing, and/or AI model weights in 2025?
Forecast Count:
7 Forecasts
7 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(26 days from now)
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(26 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 01, 2025 01:44AM UTC
(5 days ago)
Dec 01, 2025 01:44AM UTC
(5 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 10% | 11% | -1% | -2% |
| No | 90% | 89% | +1% | +2% |
What will the average employment rate in OECD countries be in 2025?
Forecast Count:
6 Forecasts
6 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(26 days from now)
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(26 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 01, 2025 01:44AM UTC
(5 days ago)
Dec 01, 2025 01:44AM UTC
(5 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than 62% | 0% | 0% | +0% | +0% |
| More than or equal to 62% but less than 66% | 0% | 0% | +0% | 0% |
| More than or equal to 66% but less than 70% | 5% | 4% | +1% | -1% |
| More than or equal to 70% but less than 74% | 90% | 96% | -6% | +1% |
| More than or equal to 74% | 5% | 0% | +5% | +0% |
What will the total amount of seed funding for biotech startups globally be in 2025 and 2026 combined, according to Labiotech?
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 01, 2025 01:45AM UTC
(5 days ago)
Dec 01, 2025 01:45AM UTC
(5 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than $1 billion | 78% | 84% | -6% | +3% |
| More than or equal to $1 billion but less than $1.2 billion | 14% | 11% | +3% | -2% |
| More than or equal to $1.2 billion but less than $1.4 billion | 5% | 3% | +2% | -1% |
| More than or equal to $1.4 billion but less than $1.6 billion | 2% | 2% | +0% | +0% |
| More than or equal to $1.6 billion | 1% | 0% | +1% | +0% |
How much more military aid will European countries allocate to Ukraine compared to the U.S. between 24 January 2022 and 31 December 2025?
Forecast Count:
6 Forecasts
6 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(26 days from now)
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(26 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 01, 2025 01:45AM UTC
(5 days ago)
Dec 01, 2025 01:45AM UTC
(5 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Europe allocates the same amount or less than the U.S. | 0% | 0% | +0% | +0% |
| More than €0 but less than €10 billion | 0% | 1% | -1% | +0% |
| At least €10 billion but less than €20 billion | 5% | 5% | +0% | +0% |
| At least €20 billion but less than €30 billion | 40% | 51% | -11% | +0% |
| €30 billion or more | 55% | 43% | +12% | +0% |
What will the total amount of seed funding for biotech startups in the EU, UK, and Switzerland be in 2025 and 2026 combined, according to Labiotech?
Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 01, 2025 01:45AM UTC
(5 days ago)
Dec 01, 2025 01:45AM UTC
(5 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than $350 million | 10% | 28% | -18% | +2% |
| More than or equal to $350 million but less than $500 million | 30% | 45% | -15% | +1% |
| More than or equal to $500 million but less than $650 million | 40% | 22% | +18% | -2% |
| More than or equal to $650 million but less than $800 million | 15% | 5% | +10% | -1% |
| More than or equal to $800 million | 5% | 1% | +4% | +0% |
What will the total amount of seed funding for biotech startups in the U.S. be in 2025 and 2026 combined, according to Labiotech?
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 01, 2025 01:45AM UTC
(5 days ago)
Dec 01, 2025 01:45AM UTC
(5 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than $350 million | 35% | 42% | -7% | +3% |
| More than or equal to $350 million but less than $450 million | 30% | 35% | -5% | +0% |
| More than or equal to $450 million but less than $550 million | 20% | 15% | +5% | -2% |
| More than or equal to $550 million but less than $650 million | 10% | 5% | +5% | -1% |
| More than or equal to $650 million | 5% | 2% | +3% | +0% |
How many people will earn research doctorates in microbiology and immunology fields in the U.S. between the 2026 and 2030 academic years?
Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Aug 01, 2026 04:00AM UTC
(8 months from now)
Aug 01, 2026 04:00AM UTC
(8 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 01, 2025 01:45AM UTC
(5 days ago)
Dec 01, 2025 01:45AM UTC
(5 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than or equal to 4,499 | 3% | 6% | -3% | -3% |
| Between 4,500 and 4,999, inclusive | 15% | 12% | +3% | +0% |
| Between 5,000 and 5,499, inclusive | 80% | 75% | +5% | +1% |
| Between 5,500 and 5,999, inclusive | 1% | 7% | -6% | +2% |
| More than or equal to 6,000 | 1% | 1% | +0% | +0% |