Affirming.
0.125412
Relative Brier Score
349
Forecasts
13
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 9 | 26 | 377 | 349 | 564 |
| Comments | 6 | 11 | 239 | 236 | 243 |
| Questions Forecasted | 9 | 23 | 67 | 57 | 75 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 14 | 13 | 26 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Nov 14, 2025 to May 14, 2026
100%
(0%)
No
Nov 14, 2025 to May 14, 2026
Why do you think you're right?
Files
Why might you be wrong?
N/A.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Nov 13, 2025 to May 13, 2026
100%
(0%)
No
Nov 13, 2025 to May 13, 2026
Why do you think you're right?
Affirming.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
N/A.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Nov 13, 2025 to May 13, 2026
100%
(0%)
No
Nov 13, 2025 to May 13, 2026
Why do you think you're right?
Affirming.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
N/A.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
5%
(-15%)
Yes
95%
(+15%)
No
Why do you think you're right?
Updating.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
N/A.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
12%
(0%)
Togo
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Estonia
0%
(0%)
Latvia
0%
(0%)
Lithuania
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
Moldova
0%
(0%)
Armenia
0%
(0%)
Georgia
0%
(0%)
Kazakhstan
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
68%
(+8%)
Less than $1 billion
23%
(-6%)
More than or equal to $1 billion but less than $1.2 billion
8%
(-2%)
More than or equal to $1.2 billion but less than $1.4 billion
1%
(0%)
More than or equal to $1.4 billion but less than $1.6 billion
0%
(0%)
More than or equal to $1.6 billion
Why do you think you're right?
Updating.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
N/A.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Less than 62%
0%
(0%)
More than or equal to 62% but less than 66%
3%
(-1%)
More than or equal to 66% but less than 70%
97%
(+1%)
More than or equal to 70% but less than 74%
0%
(0%)
More than or equal to 74%
Why do you think you're right?
Updating.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
N/A.
Files
Why do you think you're right?
Updating.
Why might you be wrong?
N/A.