Confirmed previous forecast
0.124992
Relative Brier Score
365
Forecasts
13
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 7 | 27 | 380 | 365 | 580 |
| Comments | 1 | 12 | 244 | 241 | 248 |
| Questions Forecasted | 7 | 23 | 62 | 57 | 75 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 14 | 13 | 26 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
Will the U.S. federal government enact legislation that substantively regulates or authorizes regulation of artificial intelligence systems or their development before 1 January 2026?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
100%
(0%)
No
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
100%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes, 3GPP will adopt and integrate O-RAN Alliance specifications
100%
(0%)
No, the O-RAN Alliance will continue to develop specifications independently of 3GPP
0%
(0%)
No, the O-RAN Alliance will stop developing specifications without being integrated into 3GPP
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
100%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Badge
New Badge
Star Commenter - Nov 2025
Earned for making 5+ comments in a month (rationales not included).
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
8%
(-7%)
Yes
92%
(+7%)
No
Why do you think you're right?
Decreasing.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
N/A.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Nov 29, 2025 to May 29, 2026
100%
(0%)
No
Nov 29, 2025 to May 29, 2026
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
100%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files