Forecasted Questions
Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(22 days from now)
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(22 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 01, 2025 01:55AM UTC
(9 days ago)
Dec 01, 2025 01:55AM UTC
(9 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 35% | Dec 1, 2025 to Jun 1, 2026 | Jan 1, 2026 | 1% | +34% | +0% |
| No | 65% | Dec 1, 2025 to Jun 1, 2026 | Jan 1, 2026 | 99% | -34% | +0% |