Confirmed previous forecast
0.015783
Relative Brier Score
21
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 63 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 18 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
Will any listed Muslim-majority country sign an agreement establishing or normalizing diplomatic relations with Israel in the next six months?
Compare to me
This forecast expired on Jan 31, 2026 07:12PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
1%
(0%)
Yes
Dec 31, 2025 to Jun 30, 2026
99%
(0%)
No
Dec 31, 2025 to Jun 30, 2026
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Jan 1, 2026 01:56AM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
1%
(0%)
Yes
Dec 1, 2025 to Jun 1, 2026
99%
(0%)
No
Dec 1, 2025 to Jun 1, 2026
Why do you think you're right?
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Dec 1, 2025 02:36AM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
1%
(0%)
Yes
Nov 1, 2025 to May 1, 2026
99%
(0%)
No
Nov 1, 2025 to May 1, 2026
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Nov 1, 2025 12:04AM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
1%
(0%)
Yes
Oct 1, 2025 to Apr 1, 2026
99%
(0%)
No
Oct 1, 2025 to Apr 1, 2026
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Sep 1, 2025 03:35AM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
1%
(0%)
Yes
Aug 1, 2025 to Feb 1, 2026
99%
(0%)
No
Aug 1, 2025 to Feb 1, 2026
Confirmed previous forecast
Files