gcahlik

About:

Former Investigative Analyst for a Federal agency, now working as a trade compliance specialist for a nonprofit research and development institute.

Johns Hopkins University, School of Advanced International Studies graduate, MA International Relations, Russian and Eurasian studies concentration. University of Texas at San Antonio graduate, BA Economics, Political Science, minor in Russian

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Forecasted Questions
Open Closed Resolved

Will another Chinese military base in an African country (excluding Djibouti) be under construction or established by 1 January 2027?

Forecast Count:
 5 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(11 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Jan 31, 2025 02:46AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 60% 16%
No 40% 84%

Will Huawei sell or announce plans to sell Open RAN equipment before 1 January 2027?

Forecast Count:
 6 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(11 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Jan 31, 2025 02:47AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 35% 3%
No 65% 97%

Will Russia invade Moldova, Armenia, Georgia, and/or Kazakhstan before 1 April 2027?

Forecast Count:
 10 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Apr 07, 2025 03:38PM UTC
(10 months ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Moldova 0% 5%
Armenia 0% 2%
Georgia 0% 3%
Kazakhstan 0% 1%

Will Russia invade Estonia, Latvia, and/or Lithuania before 1 April 2027?

Forecast Count:
 11 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Apr 07, 2025 03:39PM UTC
(10 months ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Estonia 0% 3%
Latvia 0% 2%
Lithuania 0% 2%
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