henrytolchard

Henry Tolchard
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Forecasted Questions

Will the EU import at least 15 billion cubic meters of natural gas from Russia in any quarter of 2025?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(26 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
May 16, 2025 05:37PM UTC
(7 months ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 4% 1%
No 96% 99%

If a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict goes into effect in 2025, how long will it last?

Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(26 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 03, 2025 05:05PM UTC
(6 months ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 30 days 50% 67%
30 days 2% 6%
31-60 days 17% 6%
61-90 days 6% 5%
91 days or more 25% 16%

What will the average employment rate in OECD countries be in 2025?

Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(26 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 03, 2025 05:07PM UTC
(6 months ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 62% 0% 0%
More than or equal to 62% but less than 66% 0% 0%
More than or equal to 66% but less than 70% 48% 4%
More than or equal to 70% but less than 74% 52% 96%
More than or equal to 74% 0% 0%
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