Forecasted Questions
Will another Chinese military base in an African country (excluding Djibouti) be under construction or established by 1 January 2027?
Forecast Count:
6 Forecasts
6 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(11 months from now)
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(11 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 30, 2026 10:40PM UTC
(2 days ago)
Jan 30, 2026 10:40PM UTC
(2 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 8% | 16% | -8% | +0% |
| No | 92% | 84% | +8% | +0% |
Will Russia invade Estonia, Latvia, and/or Lithuania before 1 April 2027?
Forecast Count:
21 Forecasts
21 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 31, 2026 02:54AM UTC
(2 days ago)
Jan 31, 2026 02:54AM UTC
(2 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estonia | 1% | 3% | -2% | +0% |
| Latvia | 0% | 2% | -2% | +0% |
| Lithuania | 1% | 2% | -1% | +0% |
Will human bioengineering activities cause a biological event of high consequence (pandemic, panzootic, or epiphytotic) before 1 January 2030?
Forecast Count:
12 Forecasts
12 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2030 05:00AM UTC
(4 years from now)
Jan 01, 2030 05:00AM UTC
(4 years from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 31, 2026 04:50AM UTC
(2 days ago)
Jan 31, 2026 04:50AM UTC
(2 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 4% | 7% | -3% | +0% |
| No | 96% | 93% | +3% | +0% |
Will Denis Sassour Nguesso win the 2026 Presidential election in the Republic of the Congo?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Mar 16, 2026 04:00AM UTC
(1 month from now)
Mar 16, 2026 04:00AM UTC
(1 month from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 31, 2026 06:14AM UTC
(2 days ago)
Jan 31, 2026 06:14AM UTC
(2 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 92% | 96% | -4% | +0% |
| No | 8% | 4% | +4% | +0% |