Forecasted Questions
Will Russia invade Moldova, Armenia, Georgia, and/or Kazakhstan before 1 April 2027?
You quit this question on Aug 27, 2024 12:53PM and have no active forecasts.
You won't receive scores for days you quit unless you make a new forecast.
Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 17, 2024 07:56AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Jul 17, 2024 07:56AM UTC
(1 year ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moldova | 18% | 6% | +12% | -6% |
| Armenia | 1% | 2% | -1% | +0% |
| Georgia | 6% | 3% | +3% | -1% |
| Kazakhstan | 1% | 1% | +0% | +0% |
Will Russia invade Estonia, Latvia, and/or Lithuania before 1 April 2027?
You quit this question on Aug 27, 2024 12:54PM and have no active forecasts.
You won't receive scores for days you quit unless you make a new forecast.
Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 17, 2024 07:56AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Jul 17, 2024 07:56AM UTC
(1 year ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estonia | 1% | 3% | -2% | +2% |
| Latvia | 1% | 2% | -1% | +1% |
| Lithuania | 1% | 3% | -2% | +1% |