High chances
-0.305898
Relative Brier Score
31
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 33 | 31 | 57 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 26 | 24 | 27 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | 24 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Badge
Top Forecaster - Nov 2025
Earned for being in the Top 10% of the leaderboard in a month.
New Badge
Top Forecaster - Oct 2025
Earned for being in the Top 10% of the leaderboard in a month.
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
56%
(-5%)
Yes
44%
(+5%)
No
Why do you think you're right?
Files
Why might you be wrong?
- There's a issue in international relations
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
61%
(0%)
Yes
39%
(0%)
No
Why do you think you're right?
High chances
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Least chances
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
61%
Yes
39%
No
Why do you think you're right?
High chances due to geopolitical reason
Files
Why might you be wrong?
If they have some negotiation with Russia
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
5%
(+2%)
Yes
95%
(-2%)
No
Why do you think you're right?
For their political crisis
Files
Why might you be wrong?
If any foreign ally helps them
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
3%
(0%)
Yes
97%
(0%)
No
Why do you think you're right?
For theie current political unrest.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
If they take any dramatic step.
Files
Why do you think you're right?
World economy makes it difficult
Why might you be wrong?
Vise versa