Forecasted Questions
Will scientists successfully create a synthetic cell from chemically synthesized components by 1 January 2035?
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jul 01, 2026 04:00AM UTC
(7 months from now)
Jul 01, 2026 04:00AM UTC
(7 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 05, 2025 10:45PM UTC
(2 months ago)
Oct 05, 2025 10:45PM UTC
(2 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 10% | -10% | -2% |
| No | 100% | 90% | +10% | +2% |
Will Wagner Group or Africa Corps deploy to Togo or an additional African country before 1 January 2026?
Forecast Count:
8 Forecasts
8 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(26 days from now)
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(26 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 05, 2025 10:45PM UTC
(2 months ago)
Oct 05, 2025 10:45PM UTC
(2 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Togo | 35% | 4% | +31% | -6% |
| Any other African country with no previous Wagner or Africa Corps operations | Answer was correct | |||
Will Russia invade Estonia, Latvia, and/or Lithuania before 1 April 2027?
Forecast Count:
10 Forecasts
10 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 05, 2025 10:45PM UTC
(2 months ago)
Oct 05, 2025 10:45PM UTC
(2 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estonia | 10% | 3% | +7% | +0% |
| Latvia | 10% | 2% | +8% | +0% |
| Lithuania | 10% | 3% | +7% | +0% |