Forecasted Questions
Will Huawei sell or announce plans to sell Open RAN equipment before 1 January 2027?
Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 01, 2025 06:17PM UTC
(4 months ago)
Aug 01, 2025 06:17PM UTC
(4 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 14% | 3% | +11% | -2% |
| No | 86% | 97% | -11% | +2% |
Will the U.S. federal government enact legislation that substantively regulates or authorizes regulation of artificial intelligence systems or their development before 1 January 2026?
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(19 days from now)
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(19 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 01, 2025 06:17PM UTC
(4 months ago)
Aug 01, 2025 06:17PM UTC
(4 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 1% | -1% | -1% |
| No | 100% | 99% | +1% | +1% |
What will the U.S. Space Force budget be in the FY2026 National Defense Authorization Act?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(19 days from now)
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(19 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 08, 2025 10:48PM UTC
(4 months ago)
Aug 08, 2025 10:48PM UTC
(4 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than $21.0 billion | 0% | 15% | -15% | +6% |
| More than or equal to $21.0 billion but less than $22.5 billion | 14% | 53% | -39% | +24% |
| More than or equal to $22.5 billion but less than $23.5 billion | 70% | 12% | +58% | -6% |
| More than or equal to $23.5 billion but less than $25.0 billion | 16% | 8% | +8% | -10% |
| More than or equal to $25.0 billion | 0% | 12% | -12% | -14% |