The conflict will likely continue to rage at least indirectly.
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This forecast expired on Mar 9, 2024 06:10PM
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5%
Yes
Feb 9, 2024 to Mar 9, 2024
95%
No
Feb 9, 2024 to Mar 9, 2024
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This forecast expired on May 4, 2024 07:03PM
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25%
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Feb 4, 2024 to Feb 4, 2025
75%
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Feb 4, 2024 to Feb 4, 2025
Iran cannot afford to go to war with another nation this soon and given the fraught nature of affairs in the region overall.
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Given the US' up and coming position as supposedly the hegemon of a unipolar world, as well as the conflict in Gaza receiving much international energy right now, it is extremely unlikely Iran will stir the pot further in the Middle East by conducting an air strike.