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New Prediction
Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 May 2024?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
2%
(0%)
Yes
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
5%
(-50%)
Yes
95%
(+50%)
No
Why do you think you're right?
At the moment, it does not seem like the Junta will have sufficient control over the country to hold elections.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
The timeframe is sufficiently long to produce doubts on any forecast.
Files