Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 May 2024?
Started
May 05, 2023 07:00PM UTC
Closed May 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
Closed May 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
President Vladimir Putin has dominated Russian politics since he succeeded Boris Yeltsin as president in 1999. However, Putin's decision to invade Ukraine has received broad international condemnation (Guardian). He swiftly squashed domestic criticism and protests from Russian citizens, but it is unclear how his hold on power will be affected by a prolonged war or the devastating economic and financial sanctions that have been levied against him, Russian oligarchs, and the Russian country (Al Jazeera, The New York Times)
This question will be resolved using reputable news media reports.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
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Yes | 1.09% | |
No | 98.91% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 548 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 60 | |
Number of Forecasts | 2016 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 220 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |