Confirmed previous forecast
-0.00414
Relative Brier Score
12
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | 31 |
| Comments | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 7 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
5%
(0%)
Yes
95%
(0%)
No
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
5%
(0%)
Yes
95%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
5%
(0%)
Yes
95%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
15%
Yes
85%
No
Why do you think you're right?
Currently, not likely so far
Files
Why might you be wrong?
A quick and unexpected movement of migrants through any border
Files
Why do you think you're right?
There is a trend to intensify controls related to AI but in general there are no news that show that will change for the beginning of 2026
Why might you be wrong?
Change in trading deals that could lead to changes in controls