No Scores Yet
Relative Brier Score
0
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
Putin is 72 years old. The average life expectance for a man his age is 12-13 years. While life expectancy is lower in Russia, Putin has better food, medicine and care than the average Russian. If the average is 12 more years, he has an ~8% chance of dying each year. Death is the only way Putin ceases to be president.