It’s only 5 days away and there doesn’t seem to be any tumult.
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1
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0
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New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(-7%)
Yes
Why do you think you're right?
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Maybe someone is currently plotting something and is deep hiding.
Files
New Badge
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
7%
Yes
Navalny's death may make for more bottoms up uprisings.
Files
Why do you think you're right?
Ukraine seems to have held it's own over the last 8 months while Trump has been in power. The existence of Ukraine as a sovereign nation matters more to the EU right now and, therefore, more likely to be seen as an ally.
Why might you be wrong?
If there is a streak of populism, then respondents may not want to be involved in any new foreign entanglements.