Making my first forecast!
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New Prediction
Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 May 2024?
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Answer
100%
Yes
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@rudra-kabir maybe the probabilities for this question were flipped for you? For whatever reason the probabilities were backwards for me when I first encountered this question in the tutorial (e.g. the crowd forecast looked like it was 96% rather than 4%, which made me doubt my personal forecast).
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