0.106276
Relative Brier Score
0
Forecasts
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No forecasts in the past 3 months
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Why do you think you're right?
Why might you be wrong?
There may be unexpected internal unrest (there is big control, but nothing is forever), health issues (some complication that make him get out of the power), the elite fracturing (elite groups reacting against him over time ) and the international pressure.
This may be factors that prove me wrong.