Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 July 2025?
Started
Jul 09, 2024 04:30PM UTC
Closed Jul 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
Closed Jul 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
Seasons
In March 2024, Vladimir Putin was re-elected to serve a new six year term (Reuters). This comes after Putin signed into law in 2021 a change to the Russian constitution that reset his term limits, allowing him to run in 2024 and possibly 2030 (CBS, AP News). However, the full impact of the war in Ukraine, Russia’s economic problems, and domestic instability remains to be seen (Atlantic Council, Wilson Center).
Resolution Criteria:
This question will be resolved using open-source news media reports.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | |
| No | 100% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 234 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 61 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 1498 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 233 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |
