Forecasted Questions
Will another Chinese military base in an African country (excluding Djibouti) be under construction or established by 1 January 2027?
Forecast Count:
6 Forecasts
6 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(11 months from now)
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(11 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 23, 2025 02:23PM UTC
(6 months ago)
Jul 23, 2025 02:23PM UTC
(6 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 73% | 16% | +57% | -14% |
| No | 27% | 84% | -57% | +14% |
Will Russia invade Moldova, Armenia, Georgia, and/or Kazakhstan before 1 April 2027?
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 23, 2025 02:23PM UTC
(6 months ago)
Jul 23, 2025 02:23PM UTC
(6 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moldova | 20% | 5% | +15% | -2% |
| Armenia | 1% | 2% | -1% | -1% |
| Georgia | 8% | 3% | +5% | -2% |
| Kazakhstan | 2% | 1% | +1% | -1% |