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New Prediction
Will North Korea conduct a nuclear test within the next six months?
Compare to me
This forecast expired on Apr 29, 2025 12:54AM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
78%
(0%)
Yes
Mar 29, 2025 to Sep 29, 2025
22%
(0%)
No
Mar 29, 2025 to Sep 29, 2025
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
5%
(0%)
Yes
95%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
100%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
3%
(0%)
Argentina
7%
(0%)
Bolivia
5%
(0%)
Ecuador
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
15%
(0%)
Estonia
5%
(0%)
Latvia
5%
(0%)
Lithuania
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
5%
Yes
95%
No
Why do you think you're right?
yes
Files
Why might you be wrong?
no
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
80%
(0%)
Yes
20%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files