Confirmed previous forecast
0.046153
Relative Brier Score
10
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 33 | 23 | 33 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 21 | 11 | 21 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | 12 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
10%
(0%)
Yes
90%
(0%)
No
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Estonia
0%
(0%)
Latvia
0%
(0%)
Lithuania
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Sep 8, 2025 09:54PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
40%
(-25%)
Yes
Aug 8, 2025 to Feb 8, 2026
60%
(+25%)
No
Aug 8, 2025 to Feb 8, 2026
Why do you think you're right?
de facto situation
Files
Why might you be wrong?
not sure
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
20%
(0%)
Yes
80%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Sep 8, 2025 09:52PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
5%
(-5%)
Yes
Aug 8, 2025 to Feb 8, 2026
95%
(+5%)
No
Aug 8, 2025 to Feb 8, 2026
Why do you think you're right?
Unlikely
Files
Why might you be wrong?
South Korea's domestic politics
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
10%
(0%)
Yes
90%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Estonia
0%
(0%)
Latvia
0%
(0%)
Lithuania
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
3%
(0%)
Yes
97%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
Why do you think you're right?
Trump wont risk it
Why might you be wrong?
They put some other measurement to compensate this