U.S. officials have played a central role in establishing dialogue between Ukraine and Russia.. The current effort demonstrates a unified approach to peace mediation which might establish the foundation for a comprehensive ceasefire agreement.
President Volodymyr Zelenskyy shows readiness to enter peace negotiations while insisting on a durable peace solution which Russia would not be able to disrupt. The willingness to discuss peace terms shows Ukraine's readiness to enter negotiations towards a ceasefire agreement.
British Prime Minister Keir Starmer alongside European leaders demanded strict deadlines and ongoing sanctions to push Russia into peace talks. The international community's demands may push Russia towards a ceasefire to relieve its economic and diplomatic pressures.
Why do you think you're right?
Russia and Ukraine are already engaged in serious negotiations and have publicly supported the idea of a ceasefire. External pressure from the U.S., Saudi Arabia, and others is strong, pushing both sides for an agreement. Militarily, both countries are exhausted.
All these factors together make a 2025 ceasefire very likely.
Why might you be wrong?
Both sides have shown support for a ceasefire but outstanding issues still exist, and negotiations could easily collapse, like they have in the past. Russia might demand conditions Ukraine can't accept, especially on territory, and Ukraine might refuse to agree if it feels the ceasefire would legitimize Russian occupation. Finally, even if leaders agree, trust is very low, which would mean no resolution before the end of 2025.