Forecasted Questions
Will Russia invade Estonia, Latvia, and/or Lithuania before 1 April 2027?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 31, 2025 06:46AM UTC
(11 months ago)
Jan 31, 2025 06:46AM UTC
(11 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estonia | 0% | 3% | -3% | +2% |
| Latvia | 0% | 2% | -2% | +1% |
| Lithuania | 0% | 3% | -3% | +1% |
When will a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict first go into effect?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(19 days from now)
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(19 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 28, 2025 01:56AM UTC
(8 months ago)
Apr 28, 2025 01:56AM UTC
(8 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 January 2025 - 31 March 2025 | 20% | 0% | +20% | +0% |
| 1 April 2025 - 30 June 2025 | 20% | 0% | +20% | -5% |
| 1 July 2025 - 30 September 2025 | 20% | 0% | +20% | -7% |
| 1 October 2025 - 31 December 2025 | 20% | 2% | +18% | -11% |
| Not before 2026 | 20% | 98% | -78% | +23% |