Forecasted Questions
If a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict goes into effect in 2025, how long will it last?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(25 days from now)
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(25 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
May 02, 2025 03:19PM UTC
(7 months ago)
May 02, 2025 03:19PM UTC
(7 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than 30 days | 20% | 68% | -48% | +6% |
| 30 days | 10% | 6% | +4% | -4% |
| 31-60 days | 15% | 6% | +9% | -2% |
| 61-90 days | 15% | 5% | +10% | +0% |
| 91 days or more | 40% | 16% | +24% | +1% |