Confirmed previous forecast
0.167815
Relative Brier Score
15
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 15 | 15 | 15 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Dec 28, 2025 02:16PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
1%
(0%)
Yes
Nov 28, 2025 to May 28, 2026
99%
(0%)
No
Nov 28, 2025 to May 28, 2026
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Nov 28, 2025 04:23PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
1%
(0%)
Yes
Oct 28, 2025 to Apr 28, 2026
99%
(0%)
No
Oct 28, 2025 to Apr 28, 2026
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Oct 26, 2025 12:42AM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
1%
(0%)
Yes
Sep 26, 2025 to Mar 26, 2026
99%
(0%)
No
Sep 26, 2025 to Mar 26, 2026
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
5%
(0%)
Argentina
9%
(0%)
Bolivia
5%
(0%)
Ecuador
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Sep 18, 2025 08:21PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
1%
(0%)
Yes
Aug 18, 2025 to Feb 18, 2026
99%
(0%)
No
Aug 18, 2025 to Feb 18, 2026
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
Why do you think you're right?
According to the data, EU has decreased the use of gas from Russia for the last 3 years. Not probable a change in these circumstances
Why might you be wrong?
A really cold winter could change the amount for an Emergency