232nd
Accuracy Rank

XX1357

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2025 Season Stats

2.008011

Relative Brier Score

125

Forecasts

14

Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
 
Past Week Past Month Past Year This Season All Time
Forecasts 0 0 125 125 125
Comments 0 0 131 131 131
Questions Forecasted 0 0 27 27 27
Upvotes on Comments By This User 0 0 14 14 14
 Definitions
New Prediction
Will any listed Muslim-majority country sign an agreement establishing or normalizing diplomatic relations with Israel in the next six months?
XX1357 made their 8th forecast (view all):
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This forecast expired on Nov 28, 2025 05:01PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0% (0%)
Yes
Oct 28, 2025 to Apr 28, 2026
100% (0%)
No
Oct 28, 2025 to Apr 28, 2026
Why do you think you're right?
No change
Files
Why might you be wrong?

NA

Files
New Prediction
What will the total amount of seed funding for biotech startups in the U.S. be in 2025 and 2026 combined, according to Labiotech?
XX1357 made their 3rd forecast (view all):
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Probability
Answer
70% (0%)
Less than $350 million
30% (0%)
More than or equal to $350 million but less than $450 million
0% (0%)
More than or equal to $450 million but less than $550 million
0% (0%)
More than or equal to $550 million but less than $650 million
0% (0%)
More than or equal to $650 million
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
If a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict goes into effect in 2025, how long will it last?
XX1357 made their 7th forecast (view all):
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Probability
Answer
65% (0%)
Less than 30 days
25% (0%)
30 days
10% (0%)
31-60 days
0% (0%)
61-90 days
0% (0%)
91 days or more
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
New Prediction
Will there be a successful coup d’état in Africa in the next six months?
XX1357 made their 7th forecast (view all):
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This forecast expired on Nov 8, 2025 05:08PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
5% (0%)
Yes
Oct 8, 2025 to Apr 8, 2026
95% (0%)
No
Oct 8, 2025 to Apr 8, 2026
Why do you think you're right?

Confirming previous forecast.

Files
Why might you be wrong?

N/A

Files
New Badge
XX1357 earned a new badge:

Active Forecaster

New Prediction
Will there be a successful coup d’état in Africa in the next six months?
XX1357 made their 6th forecast (view all):
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This forecast expired on Nov 7, 2025 09:39PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
5% (0%)
Yes
Oct 7, 2025 to Apr 7, 2026
95% (0%)
No
Oct 7, 2025 to Apr 7, 2026
Why do you think you're right?

Confirming previous forecast.

Files
Why might you be wrong?

N/A

Files
New Badge
XX1357 earned a new badge:

Star Commenter - Sep 2025

Earned for making 5+ comments in a month (rationales not included).
New Prediction
Will any listed Muslim-majority country sign an agreement establishing or normalizing diplomatic relations with Israel in the next six months?
XX1357 made their 7th forecast (view all):
Compare to me
This forecast expired on Oct 29, 2025 05:17PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0% (0%)
Yes
Sep 29, 2025 to Mar 29, 2026
100% (0%)
No
Sep 29, 2025 to Mar 29, 2026
Why do you think you're right?

Confirming last forecast.

Files
Why might you be wrong?

N/A

Files
New Prediction
Will any listed Muslim-majority country sign an agreement establishing or normalizing diplomatic relations with Israel in the next six months?
XX1357 made their 6th forecast (view all):
Compare to me
This forecast expired on Oct 29, 2025 05:04PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0% (0%)
Yes
Sep 29, 2025 to Mar 29, 2026
100% (0%)
No
Sep 29, 2025 to Mar 29, 2026
Why do you think you're right?

Confirming previous forecast

Files
Why might you be wrong?

N/A

Files
Files
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