Renewed pressure from the Trump Administration and lack of support from the US suggests to accelerate the resolution of the conflict.
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Probability
Answer
60%
Yes
40%
No
Why do you think you're right?
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Why might you be wrong?
If Europe ramps up support to Ukraine, that could prolong the conflict.
Files
Why do you think you're right?
Lab leak or accident is very unlikely in this timeframe.
Why might you be wrong?
AI could make it more likely that accidents will happen if the population of scientists performing dangerous science grows.