0.087319
Relative Brier Score
1
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
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| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
Why do you think you're right?
it seems China is failing in reaching chip manufacturing independence capabilities therefore the incentives to capture the island growth every day.
Why might you be wrong?
is very difficult to try to estimate this as the efforts could be partly secret and there could be workaround at least in the short term for chip shortage.