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About:

I'm currently a Ph.D. student in theoretical computer science. Before that, I obtained a master's degree in math. I have several external academic interests, including foreign policy and international relations.

Star Commenter - Apr 2025

My First Question

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Forecasted Questions

Will Wagner Group or Africa Corps deploy to Togo or an additional African country before 1 January 2026?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast

Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(20 days from now)

Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 04, 2025 06:00PM UTC
(8 months ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Togo	8%	4%	+4%	-7%
Any other African country with no previous Wagner or Africa Corps operations		Answer was correct