Confirmed previous forecast
0.152098
Relative Brier Score
3
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
55%
(0%)
Less than 30 days
28%
(0%)
30 days
7%
(0%)
31-60 days
5%
(0%)
61-90 days
5%
(0%)
91 days or more
Files
New Badge
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
55%
Less than 30 days
28%
30 days
7%
31-60 days
5%
61-90 days
5%
91 days or more
Why do you think you're right?
There is too much hate between sides
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Population tired from conflict in both countries
Files
Why do you think you're right?
Americans like tax cuts and stock market. BBB would have effect on both. As a result, Trump's approval rating could improve significantly before dropping longer term.
Why might you be wrong?
Significant part of Americans is unhappy about new policies and strong right push. There might be blow up in geopolitics and the risk of failure is increasing.