Forecasted Questions
When will a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict first go into effect?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(21 days from now)
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(21 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
May 18, 2025 02:20AM UTC
(7 months ago)
May 18, 2025 02:20AM UTC
(7 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 January 2025 - 31 March 2025 | 0% | 0% | +0% | +0% |
| 1 April 2025 - 30 June 2025 | 29% | 0% | +29% | -7% |
| 1 July 2025 - 30 September 2025 | 39% | 0% | +39% | -7% |
| 1 October 2025 - 31 December 2025 | 31% | 2% | +29% | -11% |
| Not before 2026 | 1% | 98% | -97% | +24% |