Forecasted Questions
Will any listed Muslim-majority country sign an agreement establishing or normalizing diplomatic relations with Israel in the next six months?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(19 days from now)
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(19 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 21, 2025 07:11PM UTC
(22 days ago)
Nov 21, 2025 07:11PM UTC
(22 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | Nov 21, 2025 to May 21, 2026 | Dec 21, 2025 | 0% | +0% | -2% |
| No | 100% | Nov 21, 2025 to May 21, 2026 | Dec 21, 2025 | 100% | +0% | +2% |
Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(19 days from now)
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(19 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 21, 2025 07:15PM UTC
(22 days ago)
Nov 21, 2025 07:15PM UTC
(22 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | Nov 21, 2025 to May 21, 2026 | Dec 21, 2025 | 1% | -1% | -1% |
| No | 100% | Nov 21, 2025 to May 21, 2026 | Dec 21, 2025 | 99% | +1% | +1% |