Because it is a limited time frame
0.311255
Relative Brier Score
11
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 11 |
| Comments | 0 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 11 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
Yes
Nov 21, 2025 to May 21, 2026
100%
No
Nov 21, 2025 to May 21, 2026
Why do you think you're right?
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Trump's desire to be the PR Campaign head of global peace , so as to get an agreement soon as possible
Files
New Badge
Star Commenter - Jun 2025
Earned for making 5+ comments in a month (rationales not included).
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(-90%)
Yes
100%
(+90%)
No
Why do you think you're right?
Trump's local and international stances hurts his approval rating
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Unexpected circumstances could change this
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
Yes
100%
No
Why do you think you're right?
Time is limited and right now , war is the topic for washingthon
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Any unexpected events
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
48%
Yes
52%
No
Why do you think you're right?
The current situation with iran will escalate the oil prices , but not above 3.6
Files
Why might you be wrong?
none
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
90%
Yes
10%
No
Why do you think you're right?
The current war of Israel vs Iran could easily determine his approval rating if he plays right and be able to dissolve the issue . I think if he plays right , the approval rating could be well beyond 45% .
Files
Why might you be wrong?
If trump can't control the outcome of war and if new local and international crisis , it would impact negatively , if not acted properly .
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
Yes
100%
No
Why do you think you're right?
The current landscape does not expect it to exceed 20% or above .
Files
Why might you be wrong?
A sudden policy shift, new incentives sales could accelerate EV adoption unexpectedly.
Files
Why do you think you're right?
The summoning of another , particularly for the tight hold grip on semiconductors would really push USA to start the 3rd world war
Why might you be wrong?